Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.547858 0.602747 0.663224 0.735266 0.819362 0.915193 1.033772
2024-12-22 0.437992 0.512366 0.602329 0.721367 0.878261 1.083415 1.381901
2024-12-29 0.381704 0.468645 0.582083 0.746399 0.988630 1.352083 1.984786
2025-01-05 0.328130 0.416409 0.537858 0.725845 1.028144 1.536946 2.582392
2025-01-12 0.282563 0.366728 0.486828 0.681747 1.016197 1.632659 3.094658
2025-01-19 0.248423 0.328023 0.444881 0.641830 0.998303 1.709019 3.636638
2025-01-26 0.233344 0.314669 0.438327 0.656952 1.081405 2.024795 5.164314
2025-02-02 0.227001 0.313237 0.449563 0.704109 1.241378 2.613279 8.786099
2025-02-09 0.214309 0.300355 0.440050 0.711098 1.319305 3.051100 13.354415
2025-02-16 0.198755 0.281337 0.417724 0.689106 1.323765 3.276535 17.894793
2025-02-23 0.189006 0.270803 0.408777 0.692112 1.390879 3.778537 29.584254
2025-03-02 0.179550 0.259892 0.397856 0.688977 1.441560 4.278815 51.435331
2025-03-09 0.171236 0.250826 0.390403 0.694656 1.528149 5.103316 135.322403
2025-03-16 0.161175 0.238188 0.375389 0.681960 1.560873 5.761413 452.569027
2025-03-23 0.156109 0.233823 0.375655 0.705047 1.721203 7.590292 NaN
2025-03-30 0.147075 0.221744 0.359643 0.686146 1.732207 8.450771 NaN
2025-04-06 0.136713 0.206618 0.336283 0.645493 1.650337 8.378342 NaN
2025-04-13 0.127603 0.193240 0.315437 0.608607 1.572928 8.267691 NaN
2025-04-20 0.124173 0.189913 0.314527 0.622593 1.699915 10.792560 NaN
2025-04-27 0.123535 0.191612 0.324040 0.666130 1.980070 17.678929 NaN
2025-05-04 0.119779 0.187215 0.320275 0.672573 2.101944 23.793734 NaN
2025-05-11 0.114241 0.179119 0.307880 0.652291 2.082459 26.347659 NaN
2025-05-18 0.110837 0.174897 0.303563 0.655064 2.187954 35.939032 NaN